US intelligence: what could change for Iran’s nuclear program

• Expert David Albright said that, according to him, the US and Iran have not agreed on any new constraints on Iran’s nuclear program, and the IAEA has not confirmed this.
• Albright points out that the key issue is the scope of the constraints on Iran’s nuclear program, which may be related to the number of centrifuges or the amount of enriched uranium.
• BBC reports that the possible changes to the agreement were discussed in a letter from the US, but Iran maintains that the IAEA has not confirmed any violations for the export of nuclear material for the past 60 days.

The US intelligence community assesses that the Iranian leadership has practical experience in implementing nuclear programs, but at the same time it does not grant permission to implement restrictions on its nuclear program, Albright, a nuclear expert and a senior fellow at the Institute for Science and International Security.

According to Albright, the “strengthening” of constraints, which is supposed to be achieved through sanctions, could be related to the need for Iran to comply with the international requirements for the nuclear program. The expert also says that it is necessary to have a clear understanding of what Iran is doing and how it could affect the nuclear program.

Albright believes that the implementation of the restrictions could be less than expected, since Iran could continue to develop its nuclear program despite the sanctions. He notes that the US and its allies will need to ensure that Iran complies with its obligations and that the IAEA can verify it.

The material also states that the US and Iran have not agreed on any new constraints on Iran’s nuclear program. Albright notes that the IAEA has not confirmed the violations, which indicates that the agreement is being implemented in accordance with the existing rules.

In a BBC publication, it is stated that the possible changes in the agreement between the US and Iran are linked to the issue of the number of centrifuges and the enriched uranium stockpile. BBC also reports that the US could use the “strengthening” of constraints to pressure Iran and that the agreement could be revised if Iran does not comply with its obligations. The material further notes that the US and its allies are concerned about the possibility that Iran could continue to develop its nuclear program.

BBC also writes that Iran has breached the timeline: the agreement’s ceiling on centrifuges is to be lowered by 300 mlrd dollars, if it is not specified, which is what the plan is. In the EL PAÍS material, it is noted that the US could use this to intensify the pressure on Iran, while the other side believes that the plan is being implemented and that it allows Iran to continue its nuclear program.

Tags: Middle East/Politics/Economy/Energy